PortfolioEdge

Average Annual Return: Performance data available upon login.

Managed by Jason Goepfert, PortfolioEdge is a strategy aiming for positive returns, regardless of prevailing market conditions. It is inspired by Ray Dalio's All-Weather portfolio and diversifies assets across stocks (35%), bonds (35%), gold (5%), commodities (5%), and cash/other (20%) for a balanced risk and return profile. The investments primarily focus on U.S.-based ETFs or options, without the inclusion of leverage or short selling. While holding periods mainly last several months, they can range anywhere from a few weeks to multiple years.

Since 2016, PortfolioEdge has consistently posted updates on the site, offering transparency into its trading tactics. While its objective is to uncover potential trading opportunities, achieve modest gains, and mitigate substantial losses, subscribers are reminded that PortfolioEdge is for educational purposes. It does not offer direct investment advice. Though positions in the portfolio are refreshed bi-weekly, subscribers can opt to receive immediate notifications for significant modifications.

Disclaimer:
  • All return figures on the site post-2016 aim for transparency and educational value. They are not audited and were primarily intended for Jason's personal reference.
  • Returns within Jason's personal portfolio might not align precisely with those displayed on the website.
  • We prioritize accuracy and transparency. It's essential to understand that prior data, especially before 2016, might not fully reflect the potential results a user could achieve based on the posted updates.
SentimenTrader Trading Strategies

50+ Analyst-Crafted, Ready-to-Act Market Trading Strategies

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Founder and CEO | Minyanville
I’ve never seen such a unique and skilled approach to sentiment and its financial applications.
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President | Hays Advisory Group
If you are really into a huge and broad examination of a very wide and divergent array of market analysis...I would suggest that you try this service in your personal repertoire.
SentimenTrader Smart Stock Scanner

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SentimenTrader Smart Option Scanner

Act on High-Probability Short Put Opportunities Across Thousands of Contracts

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Target High-Probability Option Setups
Automatically surface contracts with Probability of Profit in the 95–99% range, based on option pricing models, along with positive Expected Value derived from probability-weighted outcomes. This helps you focus on opportunities designed for consistent premium-selling strategies.
Evaluate Risk and Capital Efficiency
Compare Break Even levels, margin requirements, returns, and time to expiration side by side, allowing you to quickly assess the trade-offs between downside protection, capital usage, and yield.
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Expiration Comparison
View Return % and CAGR estimates across different expiration timelines to identify option trades that best balance duration and yield.

What You See in the Scanner

Each option contract is evaluated using a set of key metrics designed to help you balance probability, yield, and capital efficiency. The scanner displays Probability of Profit (POP), Expected Value (EV), Return %, CAGR, Break Even level, margin requirement, and Days to Expiration, allowing you to quickly compare contracts and identify opportunities that align with your strategy and risk tolerance.
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SentimenTrader is pretty influential among people who watch things like market internals.
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Trader and Author | ireallytrade.com
Awesome work…
Smart Option Scanner

Overview

The Smart Option Scanner is a specialized decision-support tool designed exclusively for Put Option Sellers. Powered by real-time Black-Scholes analytics, this module scans over 4,200 underlying assets—including S&P 500 components, major indices (e.g., SPX, NDX), and core ETFs—to identify premium Short Put opportunities. By anchoring calculations to standard market benchmarks (252 trading days per year), the scanner ensures traders can identify the balance between safety and yield.

Detailed Features & Value-Added Services

Targeted Probability Screening
  • The Statistical "Sweet Spot": Automatically targets option contracts with a high win rate, specifically isolating opportunities with a 95%–99% Probability of Profit (POP_est) that also maintain a positive Expected Value (EV).
  • Extensive Asset Coverage: Currently scans option contracts across 4,200+ assets.
Dynamic Filtering & Sorting
  • Actionable Default Dashboard: By default, the table displays critical option metrics like POP_est, Return %, and Days to Expiration (DTE), helping you immediately prioritize contracts with balanced risk-reward profiles.
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In-Depth Analytics & Transparency
  • Comprehensive Contract Details: An intuitive dropdown menu for each contract reveals deeper Greeks and metrics, including Implied Volatility (IV) and Delta.
  • Transparent Risk Logic: The dropdown also exposes the full calculation logic for Break Even points and Margin requirements, allowing you to clearly evaluate capital efficiency.
  • Industry-Standard Reliability: All predictive metrics (such as POP_est and CAGR %) utilize rigorous Black-Scholes modeling paired with real-time market data.